TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team advances from a Copa del Rey soccer tie between Unico Atletico Pinatarense and Elche in the first round. Advancement is decided by the match result, including any applicable extra time or penalty shootouts if the game is tied after regular time.
The market resolves based on which team advances from the soccer tie in the first round of the Copa del Rey. If Unico Atletico Pinatarense progresses past Elche, the market for Unico Atletico Pinatarense advancing is settled as Yes. Conversely, if Elche progresses, the market for Elche advancing is settled as Yes. The outcome considers the full match result, including extra time and penalty shootouts if necessary, to determine advancement. References to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation with FIFA.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific result, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Unico Atletico Pinatarense vs Elche match, as declared by the governing football league. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Unico Atletico Pinatarense, a win for Elche, or a draw – is the officially recorded result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment expressed through media coverage can all contribute to fluctuations in the market. Major upsets in related matches or surprising announcements could also cause traders to reassess their positions.