TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 18, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Taca de Portugal, focusing specifically on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It allows participants to speculate on whether either of the two teams will secure a victory within regulation time or if the game will end in a draw. The structure accounts for potential game disruptions by providing a mechanism for fair resolution if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event determines the winner of the Uniao SC Paredes vs Famalicao professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Uniao SC Paredes, a win for Famalicao, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Consequently, you may observe discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news more quickly than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event happening. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants trading in this market. The market depth—the volume of buy and sell orders at different price points—indicates the level of conviction and potential liquidity for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Uniao SC Paredes vs Famalicao match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event nears completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews from reputable sports analysts and updated team statistics could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, or even public social media discussions, might influence traders on Kalshi. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match interviews with key players, have the potential to move the market as well.