TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 2:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of goals. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various margin-of-victory scenarios for the Uni Craiova vs Getafe professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 15, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Uni Craiova winning by more than 2.5 goals, Uni Craiova winning by more than 1.5 goals, Getafe winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Getafe winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the specified team achieves the required goal-differential victory as defined in its respective rule. The event operates independently of league affiliations, with all trademarks and branding belonging to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each system. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, particularly as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the aggregate belief of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each possible spread in the Uni Craiova vs Getafe match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Uni Craiova vs Getafe match, as officially recorded by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The final result will be determined by the official score difference at the end of regulation time.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Uni Craiova or Getafe would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even potential controversies surrounding the match could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Major upsets in other related matches might also indirectly affect predictions.