TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ungurean Maxim and Casapciuc Stanislav in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ungurean Maxim' if Ungurean Maxim wins against Casapciuc Stanislav. This market will resolve to 'Casapciuc Stanislav' if Casapciuc Stanislav wins against Ungurean Maxim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Ungurean Maxim and Casapciuc Stanislav in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ungurean Maxim' if Ungurean Maxim wins against Casapciuc Stanislav. This market will resolve to 'Casapciuc Stanislav' if Casapciuc Stanislav wins against Ungurean Maxim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds, like those for this market, can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal models. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and need to build in a profit margin. Prediction markets, conversely, are driven by participants willing to take either side of a bet, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information and market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ungurean vs. Casapciuc match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ungurean vs. Casapciuc match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring a clear understanding of the event's conclusion.
Several signals or events could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels are also likely to cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, although to a lesser extent. Monitoring these factors will help you understand potential shifts in the probabilities associated with this market.