TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Umraniyespor and Sariyer SK, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer SK match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Umraniyespor and Sariyer SK, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer SK match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals with skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts the perceived probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived chance of occurring, while lower demand will push the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer SK match—the exact score—will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure an accurate and transparent determination of the result. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Polymarket following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the perceived probabilities of different exact scores. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations as others react to their actions. These factors all contribute to the dynamic nature of the market.