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Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer SK
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer SK?

Volume:
$25,990

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:52 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,946
N/A
N/A
$10,880
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer SK)

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Umraniye

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,817
N/A
N/A
$3,928
Settled
No
polymarket

Umraniyespor

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sariyer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,093
N/A
N/A
$4,953
Settled
No
polymarket

Sariyer SK

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Umraniyespor and Sariyer SK scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Umraniyespor winning, Sariyer SK winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets focus on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same core event (90 minutes + stoppage time) and utilize a consistent hierarchy of data sources (Official -> Flashscore/Sofascore -> Consensus).Primary resolution logic: Official TFF.org statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The primary source for resolution is the official statistics from the TFF.org.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • A canceled match resolves to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or when official results are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Umraniyespor and Sariyer SK.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Umraniye vs Sariyer professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Umraniye secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Umraniye' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Sariyer achieves the win, the 'Sariyer' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the outcome within regular time, with no consideration given to results from extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is significant public information available. The difference can also be attributed to differing levels of liquidity and market efficiency.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Umraniyespor vs. Sariyer match can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, leading to varying opinions and trading activity. Additionally, differing fee structures and liquidity can influence price discovery. The volume of trading on each platform—currently $25,990 overall—also plays a role; lower volume can result in greater price volatility. Finally, each platform may interpret available information or react to news about the match differently, creating discrepancies in the probabilities offered.