TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Umea and Hammarby Talang, focusing on determining whether Umea, Hammarby Talang, or neither team wins after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the result within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, the markets will be resolved at a fair price.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Umea vs Hammarby Talang professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026: a win for Umea, a win for Hammarby Talang, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Umea will win, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Umea vs Hammarby Talang match as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market's pricing at the time of resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Umea or Hammarby Talang could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style over the other. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could create momentum and drive price movements in this market.