TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
UMBC Retrievers vs. Vermont Catamounts (W)
Volume:
$104,448
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and Vermont Catamounts scheduled for March 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both UMBC winning and Vermont winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this matchup. Kalshi's market cannot be reliably settled under its current rules. Request clarification or correction from Kalshi before committing capital to their version.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: UMBC Retrievers wins resolves to UMBC Retrievers; Vermont Catamounts wins resolves to Vermont Catamounts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: both UMBC winning and Vermont winning are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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