TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:20h:03m
$
This group resolves to the winner of the college basketball game between UMBC Retrievers and Marist Red Foxes, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets account for potential cancellations or abandonment of the game, with a 50-50 split resolution in such cases.
In the upcoming CBB game between UMBC Retrievers and Marist Red Foxes, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the UMBC vs Marist men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time leads to a fair price resolution for both markets. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBB game between UMBC Retrievers and Marist Red Foxes, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of individuals. This market’s odds reflect the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market benefits from a wider range of perspectives and real-time adjustments based on new information, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the UMBC Retrievers versus Marist Red Foxes game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information that emerges. The final price will reflect the collective prediction of the market participants leading up to the game's conclusion.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected changes in team lineups would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Major news regarding team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Public perception and media coverage surrounding the game can also play a role, as these factors can affect the flow of information and trading activity on Polymarket and Predict. Any significant development related to the teams involved has the potential to move this market.