TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win UMBC Retrievers vs George Mason Patriots?

Total volume:
$665,898
Volume 24h:
$663,796
204,731%
Liquidity:
$129,509
1,947%
Open interest:
$513,370
28,321%

UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots

1%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 1¢ buys you 10,000 shares | Odds: 1% Total Payout: $10,000 | Net Profit: $9,900 Multiplier: 100.00x | ROI: 9,900% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
$129,489
$12,439
6,210%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
predict

UMBC Retrievers vs. George Mason Patriots

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$20
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0%
Yes 50¢No 75¢
Avg: —Max: —
kalshi

George Mason

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$189,761
N/A
N/A
$160,173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UMBC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$463,507
N/A
N/A
$353,197
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the November 2nd, 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball game between the UMBC Retrievers and the George Mason Patriots. Markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market logic is flawed, resolving to 'Yes' regardless of which team wins. Polymarket correctly specifies the winning team as the resolution.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket for trading as it provides a meaningful outcome. Avoid Kalshi due to its illogical resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market will resolve to the winning team: "UMBC Retrievers" or "George Mason Patriots". If the game is postponed, it remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either George Mason or UMBC wins. This is a flawed logic as both outcomes trigger the same resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between UMBC Retrievers and George Mason Patriots on November 2 at 4:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the UMBC vs George Mason men's college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between UMBC Retrievers and George Mason Patriots on November 2 at 4:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective predictions of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, and potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. The current volume of $665,898 suggests active trading and a developing consensus.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the UMBC vs. George Mason game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information that becomes available. The current volume of $665,898 indicates active participation and a growing interest in predicting the game’s result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift the probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also affect perceptions of their relative strengths. Monitoring these factors and observing changes in volume—currently at $663,651 in the last 24 hours—can provide insights into potential market movements.