TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UMass vs. Toledo
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of UMass vs. Toledo?

Total volume:
$58
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$43
0%
Open interest:
$58
0%

UMass

 - Kalshi

UMass - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 11, 2026

Time left: 08d:22h:44m

UMass wins

21%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 20¢ buys you 500 shares | Odds: 21% Total Payout: $500 | Net Profit: $400 Multiplier: 5.00x | ROI: 400% APY not meaningful 8 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UMass

Trade
21%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
4¢
N/A
$58
0%
N/A
$58
1w 1d 22h
Active
kalshi

Toledo

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 22h
Active
polymarket

UMass vs. Toledo

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -8.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 17h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 106

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UMass vs. Toledo college football game scheduled for November 11, 2026, including the winner, point spreads, and over/under totals for the game and individual quarters/halves, as well as team totals. The markets offer a wide range of potential outcomes and betting opportunities.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's 'Yes' outcome covers both win scenarios, while Polymarket specifies a winner and includes a tie resolution.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for more granular outcomes and be mindful of the tie possibility. Kalshi's markets will likely trade differently due to the broader 'Yes' outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either UMass or Toledo wins the game. "If Toledo wins the UMass vs Toledo college football game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UMass wins the UMass vs Toledo college football game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to either 'UMass' or 'Toledo' if they win, and 50-50 in the event of a tie. "This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Toledo, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the college football game between UMass and Toledo, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves using the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within the 48-hour period, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the UMass vs. Toledo game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, currently showing a total volume of $58. The dashboard tracks the combined trading activity across both venues, offering a broader perspective than looking at any single prediction market in isolation. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show differing levels of confidence in the potential results of this game, with a combined 24-hour volume of $0.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. The efficiency of both types of markets depends on information availability and the number of participants.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors UMass vs. Toledo at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward UMass wins at 21.0%. Differences in liquidity and the timing of trades can also contribute to price variations. Furthermore, differing risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to varied valuations of the same event.

This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the UMass vs. Toledo game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the official results and how they align with the predictions made within this market after the event concludes.

Several factors could influence this market before Nov 11, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could shift the probabilities. Public perception, driven by media coverage and social media sentiment, can also play a role. Major betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could also signal a shift in expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will likely impact the trading volume and prices in this market.