TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Buffalo will win its college football game against UMass, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Buffalo a 58.0% probability of winning, while UMass is at 44.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the UMass vs Buffalo game, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on October 16, 2026 – the originally scheduled game date – as the outcome of this match will determine the market’s resolution.
The event determines the winner of the UMass vs Buffalo college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Buffalo wins, the Buffalo market resolves to Yes; if UMass wins, the UMass market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the game's outcome. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information is incorporated, potentially outperforming traditional sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can exist, especially early in the market's life cycle, as sportsbooks may react more quickly to breaking news or injuries.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the UMass vs Buffalo game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which outcome—a UMass win or a Buffalo win—is the correct result according to the official game statistics. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final, verified outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either UMass or Buffalo would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during other games could also influence trader sentiment. Major weather forecasts impacting game conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also move the market. Finally, significant public betting patterns or analysis from sports analysts could contribute to price fluctuations leading up to Oct 17, 2026.