TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ulsan HD and Gangwon, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other in this competitive league fixture.
The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Ulsan HD versus Gangwon professional soccer match in the Korea K League 1, scheduled for November 1, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded. The first scenario resolves to Yes if Ulsan HD wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second scenario resolves to Yes if Ulsan HD wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third scenario resolves to Yes if Gangwon wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth scenario resolves to Yes if Gangwon wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes reflect more nuanced probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering different insights than conventional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Ulsan HD vs Gangwon match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the verified result on Kalshi following the completion of the game and official confirmation of the spread.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Ulsan HD or Gangwon could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could quickly shift the price, reflecting new insights or strategic positioning. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.