TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ulsan HD and Bucheon, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the standard match timeframe. Predictors assess different goal-differential thresholds to gauge the potential dominance of one team over the other.
The event evaluates various goal-difference scenarios in the Ulsan HD versus Bucheon professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the winning team's margin of victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Ulsan HD winning by more than 2.5 goals, Ulsan HD winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bucheon winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bucheon winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before substantial trading volume occurs, as the market discovers its own consensus view of the Ulsan HD vs Bucheon match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score difference between Ulsan HD and Bucheon will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league organizers, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the match outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ulsan HD or Bucheon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely goal difference in the Ulsan HD vs Bucheon match has the potential to move the market.