TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional EuroCup basketball game between Ulm Basketball and Basquet Manresa. The game is scheduled for October 7, 2026, and the resolution depends on which team secures a victory. The event reflects the competitive dynamics of international club basketball, where fans and analysts can assess team performance and strategies.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men’s professional EuroCup basketball game between Ulm Basketball and Basquet Manresa, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see this market incorporate factors that sportsbooks might not immediately account for, resulting in a different probability assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely result of the Ulm vs Manresa basketball match.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ulm vs Manresa basketball match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The specific result that triggers resolution will be the final score and winning team, as determined by the official game statistics. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions if they affect travel or game play, could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also impact trading decisions, leading to fluctuations in the market’s price and volume.