TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between Ulm Basketball and Alba Berlin, reflecting which team secures a victory in their scheduled match. The result depends solely on the final score of the contest as officially recorded by the league. Any changes to the game's timing within a short window do not affect the market's resolution criteria.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional Germany BBL basketball game between Ulm Basketball and Alba Berlin, scheduled for October 25, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT. If Alba Berlin wins the game, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, while Ulm Basketball’s market resolves to Yes if they secure the victory. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final, official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting neither a definitive win nor loss for either team. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the odds on Kalshi can adjust more rapidly than those at traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, presenting potential opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses, ensuring the market remains solvent and functioning efficiently. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ulm vs Alba Berlin game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their initial investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Ulm or Alba Berlin would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching changes, shifts in team performance during recent games, or even weather conditions (if the game is outdoors) could also influence trading activity. Major announcements about team strategies or player availability, as well as significant betting activity from large traders, could all contribute to movement in the odds on Kalshi leading up to Oct 25, 2026.