TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the result of the second half of a UEFA Nations League game between Ukraine and Hungary. Users are betting on whether Ukraine, Hungary, or a draw will have scored more goals in the second half of regular play, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Ukraine and Hungary, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ukraine" if Ukraine score more goals than Hungary in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Ukraine and Hungary score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hungary" if Hungary score more goals than Ukraine in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Ukraine and Hungary, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ukraine" if Ukraine score more goals than Hungary in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Ukraine and Hungary score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hungary" if Hungary score more goals than Ukraine in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and risk assessment, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of many individuals trading on the outcome. This market, specifically, may show discrepancies as traders incorporate diverse information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Furthermore, prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery compared to traditional betting venues. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Ukraine vs. Hungary second half can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more accurate price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and the fees associated with each platform can influence prices. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Ukraine to win the second half? at 98, while Predict leans toward Ukraine vs. Hungary: Second half draw? at n/a.