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412,077

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Ukraine vs. Hungary
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Ukraine vs. Hungary?

Volume:
$990,875

Hungary

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hungary

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190,352
N/A
N/A
$84,723
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hungary

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$152,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

HUN

View
99%
66%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,472
$37,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
30%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$189
$20,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146,799
N/A
N/A
$96,552
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Ukraine vs. Hungary)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

UKR

View
1%
37%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$157
$30,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230,816
N/A
N/A
$129,117
Settled
No
polymarket

Ukraine

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Ukraine and Hungary, specifically whether Hungary will win on October 5, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Hungary winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is based on the result of the Ukraine vs Hungary professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 5, 2026, to see if Hungary secures a win within the standard playing time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution logic differs regarding the outcome if the game is canceled entirely.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket markets are more susceptible to resolving to 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi markets will likely resolve based on the result if the game is rescheduled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: If Ukraine or Hungary wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to Yes. A tie resolves to Yes. No specific resolution rule for game cancellations is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Ukraine and Hungary.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Ukraine vs Hungary UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Ukraine or Hungary occurs only if that respective team wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Ukraine and Hungary.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the potential outcomes of the Ukraine vs. Hungary match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $990,875, with $875,144 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the probability of different results, aggregating data from multiple prediction markets into a single, easily accessible location. The displayed probabilities reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a dynamic assessment of the match's likely outcome. This market provides a unique opportunity to see how predictions evolve as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, such as those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the diverse opinions of many traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. The volume on this market is currently $990,875, indicating active trading and a potentially refined forecast compared to initial sportsbook offerings. It's worth comparing both to gain a broader perspective.