TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between UIC Flames and Northern Iowa Panthers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, including overtime if applicable.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Northern Iowa win and UIC win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—it cannot distinguish between a UIC victory and a Northern Iowa victory because both resolve to Yes. Polymarket's binary structure is the only logically sound implementation. Contact Kalshi support if you hold positions.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to UIC Flames if UIC wins, Northern Iowa Panthers if Northern Iowa wins. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory resolution criteria. Both Northern Iowa victory and UIC victory are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible situation where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. This is a data integrity failure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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