TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Uganda versus Congo DR international friendly soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the official result of the Uganda vs Congo DR professional Intl Friendlies soccer game, resolving to Yes if over 1.5 goals are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 5, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Uganda vs Congo DR professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. The outcome is determined solely by the number of goals exceeding specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. The markets are independent, each resolving to Yes if the stated threshold is surpassed.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s prices are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the initial assessment of oddsmakers. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information or shifts in public sentiment, potentially providing insights not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on their belief about the total goals scored, and the market price reflects the aggregated probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by factors like news about team form, injuries, and historical performance data.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Uganda vs Congo match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regular play and any added time, but not penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match reports and widely available sports news outlets to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Uganda or Congo would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, pre-match team lineups and tactical announcements might shift expectations about the game's potential for goals, leading to movement in this market. Unexpected upsets in other qualifying matches could also indirectly affect trader sentiment.