TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether Uganda or Congo DR achieves a decisive victory margin, focusing on goal differentials within the regulation time of the match.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Uganda or Congo DR wins the professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. For Uganda, markets resolve to Yes if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. For Congo DR, markets resolve to Yes if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. Each market independently assesses its specific threshold for victory margins.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. As more information emerges – such as team news or injury reports – this market can react more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading volume accumulates. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Uganda vs Congo DR match. The price of a contract directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism leads to a market-driven assessment of the event's potential results, constantly updating as new information is considered.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Uganda vs Congo DR match as officially recorded by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The platform will verify the outcome against established data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or significant public attention focused on this game, could also drive trading activity. The closer we get to the event, the more sensitive the market will become to new information and evolving expectations.