TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two national teams in an international friendly competition. The focus is on whether both teams will score during the regular playing time, which includes the standard 90 minutes and any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within this time frame.
If Uganda and Congo DR both score a goal in the Uganda vs Congo DR Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Uganda vs Congo DR match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and trading accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Uganda and Congo DR teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders holding contracts representing the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Uganda or Congo DR would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected team lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence the volume and price of contracts in this market.