TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Uganda vs Congo DR
kalshi

What is the result of Uganda vs Congo DR?

Volume:
$1,491,899

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$506,183
N/A
N/A
$170,018
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Uganda

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493,034
N/A
N/A
$314,989
Settled
No
kalshi

Congo DR

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492,682
N/A
N/A
$189,109
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the Uganda vs Congo DR international friendly soccer match will end in a tie. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to “Tie is the result”, with Uganda winning at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026, as reported by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on October 5, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the final result and market resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Uganda vs Congo DR professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Uganda wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Uganda' market resolves to Yes. If Congo DR wins under the same conditions, the 'Congo DR' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time including stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The event specifically covers the standard regulation time result, with no consideration given to outcomes determined during extra time or penalty phases.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Uganda vs Congo DR match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $1,491,899. The 24-hour volume is $1,490,580, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely result of the match, all within Kalshi.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both venues. It’s common to see initial differences, but as the event approaches, the odds on this market and sportsbook odds often converge as more information becomes available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Uganda vs Congo DR match. The price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and produce a forecast based on the collective intelligence of its participants.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Uganda vs Congo DR match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the corresponding payout for their contracts once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi. The market’s resolution is determined by the actual event result, not by any subjective assessment or opinion.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in other sources, can all contribute to price changes in this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026.