TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Uganda vs. Botswana
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Uganda vs. Botswana?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$429
5%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Uganda

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:15h:14m

Uganda wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Uganda

Trade
N/A
N/A
76¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Uganda

Trade
69%
Yes 96¢No 59¢
55¢
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 12h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 65.5¢Max: 76¢
kalshi

Botswana

Trade
N/A
N/A
61¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Botswana

Trade
32%
8%
Yes 60¢No 97¢
57¢
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 12h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 59¢Max: 61¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
61¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 15h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Uganda vs. Botswana)

Trade
32%
Yes 60¢No 97¢
57¢
$139
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 12h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 59¢Max: 61¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a soccer match between Uganda and Botswana in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Uganda will win, Botswana will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes extensive abandonment rules, while Kalshi lacks these provisions, and has different draw resolution in case of abandonment.Hero tip: Be aware of the differing abandonment rules on Polymarket. A canceled game will resolve differently than on Kalshi. Polymarket's draw market has a 'Yes' resolution if abandoned, while Kalshi does not specify.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the Uganda win market resolves to "No", and the draw market resolves to "Yes". Detailed rules for abandoned games exist.
  • Kalshi: If Uganda wins or the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to "Yes". No specific abandonment rules are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Uganda and Botswana, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Uganda vs Botswana AFCON Qualifiers match scheduled for November 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Uganda resolves the 'Uganda' market to Yes; a win for Botswana resolves the 'Botswana' market to Yes; and a draw resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. All markets refer specifically to the result within regular time, not including extra time or penalty phases. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per platform rules. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Uganda vs. Botswana match. Currently, total volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, aggregating predictions from a diverse group of traders. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities for each possible outcome, providing a real-time assessment of expectations as they evolve. It’s a valuable resource for anyone interested in understanding how the crowd perceives the likely result of this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets or react more quickly to breaking news, creating discrepancies in odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior. While both platforms track the same underlying event – the Uganda vs. Botswana match – these differences can result in distinct price discovery processes and, consequently, different probabilities assigned to each outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Uganda vs. Botswana match as reported by official sports authorities. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any available information. The final price will reflect the collective prediction of market participants regarding the match’s outcome, providing a clear signal of the expected result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Uganda or Botswana would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also be a factor. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events could influence overall sentiment and trading activity. Finally, significant volume spikes on either Polymarket or Kalshi driven by new information or large traders could quickly move the market.