TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market benefits from a large number of participants, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as information evolves and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Mar 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official announcement of Charles Oliveira’s next fight is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the fighter officially announced as Oliveira’s next opponent by the UFC. Any changes or postponements to the fight announcement may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the official UFC announcement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official statements from Charles Oliveira or the UFC regarding potential opponents would be major catalysts. News about fighter injuries or contract negotiations could also shift the odds. Unexpected results in other UFC fights that impact the rankings of potential contenders could also influence trader sentiment. Any credible leaks or reports from reputable MMA journalists could also move this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.