TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
polymarket

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Volume:
$224,515

Placeholder B

 - Polymarket

Placeholder B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:09 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Placeholder B

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
Yes
polymarket

Maurício Ruffy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Mateusz Gamrot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Paddy Pimblett

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Dan Hooker

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Justin Gaethje

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Arman Tsarukyan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Conor McGregor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Islam Makhachev

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Ilia Topuria

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Benoît Saint Denis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
No
polymarket

Placeholder E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder N

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder O

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
polymarket

Placeholder K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3w 6d
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Oliveira next opponent market tracks the current odds for each potential fighter, the price history of those odds, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $10,065 and total volume to date is $224,515. You can see how the probabilities have shifted over time and which outcomes are attracting the most interest from traders. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the most likely next fight for Charles Oliveira will be.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market benefits from a large number of participants, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as information evolves and opinions shift.

This market resolves around Mar 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official announcement of Charles Oliveira’s next fight is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the fighter officially announced as Oliveira’s next opponent by the UFC. Any changes or postponements to the fight announcement may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the official UFC announcement.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official statements from Charles Oliveira or the UFC regarding potential opponents would be major catalysts. News about fighter injuries or contract negotiations could also shift the odds. Unexpected results in other UFC fights that impact the rankings of potential contenders could also influence trader sentiment. Any credible leaks or reports from reputable MMA journalists could also move this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.