TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:38 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Piera Rodriguez" if Piera Rodriguez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Piera Rodriguez" if Piera Rodriguez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering value for informed traders. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when assessing the potential outcome.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Rodriguez vs. Alencar fight.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result announced by the UFC will determine the winner of the Rodriguez vs. Alencar fight. The market will settle to 100% for the winning fighter and 0% for the losing fighter. It’s important to note that the official announcement is the sole determinant, and any disputes or challenges to the result will not affect the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or even detailed analysis of their recent performances could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about training partners or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, public statements from the fighters themselves, or even perceived changes in their physical condition during weigh-ins, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the predicted outcome.