TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Otari Tanzilovi" if Otari Tanzilovi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Malcolm Wellmaker" if Malcolm Wellmaker is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Otari Tanzilovi" if Otari Tanzilovi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Malcolm Wellmaker" if Malcolm Wellmaker is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanzilovi vs. Wellmaker fight, as declared by the relevant governing body for UFC events. The outcome will be determined by whether the fight goes over or under 0.5 rounds, as defined by the official fight rules and results. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also cause movement. Furthermore, as the fight draws closer, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could impact the perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either fighter winning will likely be reflected in the market price.