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24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
polymarket

What is the result of Dumont vs Perez?

Volume:
$586,671

Fight to Go the Distance?

 - Polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 10:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$555,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perez to win by KO/TKO?

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dumont to win by KO/TKO?

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dumont in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dumont in Round 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dumont in Round 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perez in Round 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perez in Round 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perez in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Norma Dumont and Ailin Perez will conclude with a decision or draw. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported on https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the fight card for UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026, as the official results from this event will determine the market’s outcome.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Norma Dumont" if Norma Dumont is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Ailin Perez" if Ailin Perez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Early on, sportsbook odds may be more influential, but as the event approaches, this market can diverge as informed traders share their insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly if there's significant public interest or new information emerges that isn't fully priced into traditional betting lines.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dumont vs. Perez fight, as declared by the UFC. This includes determining the official winner of the bout, following the standard rules and regulations of the UFC. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the market’s settlement.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the price. Any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches will be closely watched. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter's chances of winning has the potential to move this market.