TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the UFC Fight Night bout between Norma Dumont and Ailin Perez will conclude with a decision or draw. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported on https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the fight card for UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos on September 26, 2026, as the official results from this event will determine the market’s outcome.
This market will resolve to "Norma Dumont" if Norma Dumont is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Ailin Perez" if Ailin Perez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dumont vs. Perez fight, as declared by the UFC. This includes determining the official winner of the bout, following the standard rules and regulations of the UFC. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the price. Any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches will be closely watched. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter's chances of winning has the potential to move this market.