TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)
limitless
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Raposo vs. Degli?

Total volume:
$53
Volume 24h:
$7
83%
Liquidity:
$13,018
275%
Open interest:
$46N/A

Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:04h:07m

UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)

35%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 36¢ buys you 278 shares | Odds: 35% Total Payout: $278 | Net Profit: $178 Multiplier: 2.78x | ROI: 178% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli

Trade
35%
2%
Yes 36¢No 67¢
3¢
$7,789
$53
16%
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
limitless

UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)

Trade
N/A
N/A
8.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 21h 7m
Active
predict

Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 23h 7m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
34.5%
Yes 36¢No 67¢
Avg: 6.5¢Max: 8.5¢
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 96¢
92¢
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Raposo to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Degli to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 93¢No 94¢
87¢
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
49%
Yes 93¢No 95¢
88¢
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
54%
4%
Yes 55¢No 48¢
3¢
$5,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Raposo in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Raposo in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Raposo in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Degli in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Degli in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Degli in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 7m
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This prediction group covers various outcomes for the UFC Flyweight fight between Mitch Raposo and Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets include who will win, how they will win (KO, TKO, Submission, Decision), round-based outcomes, and whether the fight will go the distance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official UFC results and a consistent postponement deadline.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information (e.g., UFC.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary resolution criteria is the official result declared by the UFC.
  • A 'No Contest', cancellation, or postponement beyond November 21, 2026, will result in a 50-50 resolution.
  • Round-based markets resolve based on when the fight *officially* ends, including stoppages between rounds.
  • Decision markets include unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draws: Draws (including technical draws decided by judges' scorecards) resolve as per the specific market question. For the 'Will the fight be won by decision?' market, a draw resolves 'No'.
  • Stoppages Between Rounds: A stoppage between rounds counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. This is crucial for round-based markets.
  • Postponement: If the fight is postponed beyond November 21, 2026, all markets resolve to '50-50'.
Timing: Resolution will occur once the official UFC result is published, and no later than November 21, 2026, if the fight has not taken place.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard aggregates forecasts on the outcome of the Raposo vs. Degli fight, allowing you to see where the crowd believes the most likely result will land. Currently, the total volume across both platforms is $53, with $7 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of the probabilities surrounding this matchup. Polymarket currently favors a decision win, with approximately 50% probability, while Limitless also shows significant interest in that outcome. This market offers a unique way to track sentiment and potential predictions for this flyweight prelim bout.

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks might initially favor one fighter, this market could shift based on informed traders identifying undervalued probabilities. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Limitless may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market design. Polymarket might attract a more sophisticated or specialized group of traders, leading to different price discovery than Limitless, which could have a broader, more casual audience. Additionally, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, differing fees or liquidity provisions could impact how traders assess and price the probabilities surrounding the Raposo vs. Degli fight. These factors contribute to the dynamic interplay between the two markets.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result declared by the UFC following the Raposo vs. Degli fight. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.

Several signals could influence this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition could significantly shift probabilities. Public statements from coaches or fighters themselves, as well as expert analysis from MMA journalists, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention to this market. Finally, any significant shifts in overall market sentiment towards either fighter, driven by social media or other sources, could lead to price movements.