TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Mickey Gall" if Mickey Gall is officially declared the winner of the fight against Zach Reese at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Zach Reese" if Zach Reese is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Mickey Gall" if Mickey Gall is officially declared the winner of the fight against Zach Reese at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Zach Reese" if Zach Reese is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives not immediately factored into sportsbook lines. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous process where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential results of the fight.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC following the completion of the Gall vs. Reese fight. The official result will include whether Gall or Reese won, or if the fight ended in a draw. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Pre-fight press conferences, weigh-in results, and analysis from MMA experts can also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends or large volume trades on Predict could also signal a shift in expectations, leading to price adjustments in this market.