TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional mixed martial arts bout between two fighters scheduled for October 17, 2026. The market will determine which fighter claims victory in the contest. Outcomes include a win for either competitor, a tie, or various forms of contest disruption.
If Marc Andre Barriault wins the Marc Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Daukaus wins the Marc Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Barriault vs Daukaus fight as declared by the UFC. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, knockout, submission, or technical knockout will determine the winning contract in this market. Any potential challenges or disputes will be resolved using publicly available information and established fight rules.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also impact trading behavior. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the fight could cause the odds to fluctuate. Public analysis from MMA experts and shifts in fan opinion can also contribute to changes in volume and price.