TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)
limitless
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi?

Total volume:
$2,839
Volume 24h:
$115
95%
Liquidity:
$41,176
5%
Open interest:
$379N/A

Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:06h:06m

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
$27,936
$2,839
4%
2,393%
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
limitless

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi (Featherweight, Main Card)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 23h 6m
Active
predict

Lucas Brennan vs. Austin Bashi

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 6m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
49.5%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
Avg: 6.3¢Max: 12¢
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
48%
Yes 92¢No 97¢
89¢
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Brennan to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Bashi to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
47%
Yes 63¢No 70¢
33¢
$4,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
44%
Yes 68¢No 80¢
48¢
$3,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
48%
Yes 68¢No 73¢
41¢
$3,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
49%
Yes 94¢No 97¢
91¢
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Brennan in Round 1

Trade
60%
1%
Yes 96¢No 77¢
73¢
$1,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Brennan in Round 2

Trade
51%
Yes 97¢No 96¢
93¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Brennan in Round 3

Trade
53%
Yes 97¢No 92¢
89¢
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Bashi in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Bashi in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Bashi in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

Trade
52%
Yes 97¢No 93¢
90¢
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 6m
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC fight between Lucas Brennan and Austin Bashi, scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets include predicting the winner, method of victory, round duration, and specific round outcomes. All markets rely on official UFC information for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same resolution source (UFC official information) and share identical logic for determining outcomes, including handling of draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary resolution criteria is the official result declared by the UFC.
  • Draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond November 21, 2026, will resolve to '50-50'.
  • Round-based markets (O/U Rounds) resolve based on whether the fight ends before or after the 2:30 mark of the specified round.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Fight Ends Exactly on Threshold: For 'O/U Rounds' markets, if the fight ends exactly at the 2:30 mark of a round, the market will resolve to '50-50'.
  • Stoppage Between Rounds: A stoppage between rounds counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the official result is declared by the UFC, but no later than November 21, 2026, if the fight is not completed by then.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Lucas Brennan" if Lucas Brennan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Austin Bashi at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Brennan vs. Bashi fight. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $2,839, indicating significant interest in this matchup. The dashboard displays a consensus view of probabilities, allowing you to see where the crowd believes the edge lies. Polymarket currently favors Will Lucas Brennan winning in Round 1 at 59.5%, while Limitless leans toward a different outcome. This provides a comprehensive look at market sentiment as it evolves leading up to the event.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Limitless are common due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Polymarket might have a larger concentration of MMA enthusiasts, while Limitless could attract more general prediction market participants. Furthermore, the liquidity – with 24-hour volume at $115 – and the specific market structures on each platform can influence price formation, leading to differing probabilities for the same event.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Brennan vs. Bashi fight, as declared by the UFC. The platform will verify the outcome against established fight records and reporting to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Lucas Brennan or Austin Bashi would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Updates on their training camps, weigh-in results, or even pre-fight interviews could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume spikes on either Polymarket or Limitless could signal new information or a change in market perception. Ultimately, any development that alters the perceived likelihood of either fighter winning will likely move this market.