TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner of the fight against Loopy Godínez at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Loopy Godínez" if Loopy Godínez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner of the fight against Loopy Godínez at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Loopy Godínez" if Loopy Godínez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information or shifts in public perception than traditional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the fight's potential results based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Souza vs. Godínez fight as declared by the UFC. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the market's conditions. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-fight analysis could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential opponent replacements would also be significant catalysts. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can also impact trading activity and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.