TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)
limitless
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Nakamura vs Schmid?

Total volume:
$1,091
Volume 24h:
$984N/A
Liquidity:
$12,059
466%
Open interest:
$1,064N/A

Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:03h:11m

UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 77¢ buys you 130 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $130 | Net Profit: $30 Multiplier: 1.30x | ROI: 30% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid

Trade
76%
1%
Yes 77¢No 26¢
3¢
$7,677
$1,091
918%
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
limitless

UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 20h 11m
Active
predict

Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 22h 11m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
75.5%
Yes 77¢No 26¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
49%
Yes 93¢No 96¢
89¢
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Nakamura to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Schmid to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
69%
19%
Yes 94¢No 56¢
50¢
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
56%
6%
Yes 57¢No 46¢
3¢
$4,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
37%
Yes 66¢No 92¢
58¢
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Nakamura in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Nakamura in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Nakamura in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Schmid in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Schmid in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Schmid in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 3h 11m
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC fight between Keiichiro Nakamura and Ollie Schmid, scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets include predicting the winner, method of victory, round length, and specific round outcomes. All markets rely on official UFC information for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same resolution source (official UFC information) and define outcomes consistently, including the '50-50' fallback for various event disruptions.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the official UFC result.
  • Draws, Technical Draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond November 21, 2026, resolve to '50-50'.
  • KO/TKO, Submission, Decision, and Round-based markets resolve based on the official fight outcome as reported by the UFC.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Fight Postponed: If the fight is postponed beyond November 21, 2026, all markets resolve to '50-50'.
  • Technical Draw: A technical draw resolves to '50-50' across all markets.
  • Round Threshold: For Over/Under round markets, a fight ending *exactly* at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for O/U 0.5) resolves to '50-50'.
Timing: Resolution will occur once the official UFC result is available, and no later than November 21, 2026, unless the fight is postponed beyond that date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Nakamura vs. Schmid fight. Currently, there's a consensus view that one outcome is more likely than others, with a combined volume of $1,091 across both platforms. This reflects the aggregated predictions of users trading on each venue, offering a real-time assessment of who is favored to win. The dashboard provides a way to compare and contrast predictions from these two distinct prediction markets, giving a broader perspective on potential results than any single source could offer.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, leading to a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect. This market’s odds reflect what traders believe will happen, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the betting cycle, as prediction markets can react more quickly to new information and shifts in sentiment.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Limitless can diverge for several reasons, including differences in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. The volume of trading on each platform—currently $984 in 24-hour volume—also influences price discovery. Furthermore, subtle differences in how each platform handles fees or allows order types can contribute to price discrepancies. These factors all play a role in shaping the unique dynamics of each market.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC for the Nakamura vs. Schmid fight, including any potential outcomes such as a win by knockout, submission, or decision. The outcome will be determined by the official record of the fight, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders should monitor official UFC announcements for the final result that will settle this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fighter statistics could lead to adjustments in probabilities. A significant shift in public opinion, driven by social media or online forums, could also impact trading activity and move the market in either direction. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.