TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which fighter will win the professional MMA bout between Joaquin Buckley and Mike Malott. Currently, Kalshi gives Mike Malott a 56.0% probability of winning, while Joaquin Buckley is at 45.0%. The market will resolve based on the official outcome of the fight, as determined by the fight’s resolution source. Keep an eye on the scheduled fight date of October 17, 2026, as the market will resolve the day after, on October 18, 2026, based on who is declared the winner.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott professional MMA fight scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Buckley wins, his market resolves to Yes, and Malott’s resolves to No, and vice versa if Malott wins. In the event of a tie or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50 each, representing a split outcome. If the fight is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the fight is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and differing viewpoints are common, especially early in the betting cycle.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Buckley vs Malott fight, as declared by the relevant governing body for UFC events. The outcome will be determined by whether Joaquin Buckley wins, or if Mike Malott wins. No further details on resolution specifics are available at this time.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Additionally, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the fight could significantly impact the market. The closer we get to Oct 18, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely be to new information.