TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as they reflect the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the fighters' chances of winning. It’s worth comparing both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the fight. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular fighter will win, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the fight’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the UFC following the conclusion of the Lebosnoyani vs. Hasanov fight. This includes determining the clear winner of the bout, whether by knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision. The platform will then verify the result against established sources to finalize the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also impact the market, as traders often consider external factors. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight statistics released in the days leading up to the event could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.