TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)
- Limitless
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) - Limitless
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 31, 2026
Closed: Oct 31, 9:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more favorable odds, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook lines, as each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the fight. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the fight's potential result. The current volume of $0 indicates the level of activity in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC following the conclusion of the Lebosnoyani vs. Hasanov fight. This includes consideration of all possible outcomes, such as a win by knockout, submission, or decision, as well as potential no-contests or disqualifications. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or even tactical adjustments revealed during pre-fight press conferences could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns or analysis from MMA experts could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, public perception and social media buzz surrounding the fighters’ training camps or recent performances can play a role in shaping the market’s direction. A significant upset in a similar fight on the same card could also have a ripple effect.