TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is purely driven by traders expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd and the bookmakers diverge in their assessments of the fight’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lebosnoyani vs. Hasanov fight as declared by the relevant governing body. The outcome will be determined by whether the fight ends before Round 2, as defined by the official rules of the UFC. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or health status would likely cause significant price movement. Public analysis from MMA experts and any shifts in betting odds from sportsbooks could also impact trading activity on Polymarket, as traders react to new information and refine their predictions about the Lebosnoyani vs. Hasanov fight.