TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)
polymarket

What is the result of Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo?

Volume:
$321,163

Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo

 - Polymarket

Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 10:28 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$301,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Camilo to win by KO/TKO?

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Herbert to win by KO/TKO?

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Camilo in Round 1

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Herbert in Round 3

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Herbert in Round 2

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Camilo in Round 2

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Camilo in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Herbert in Round 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 19

Description

This market will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner of the fight against Matheus Camilo at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Matheus Camilo" if Matheus Camilo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner of the fight against Matheus Camilo at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Matheus Camilo" if Matheus Camilo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Herbert vs. Camilo fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $321,148, with $276,930 traded in the last 24 hours. Users can view how the probabilities have shifted over time and assess the market's sentiment. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of the market's activity, allowing traders to make informed decisions based on the collective predictions of other participants. It’s a dynamic view of where the crowd stands on the fight’s outcome.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook setting. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding this event. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing viewpoints.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Herbert vs. Camilo fight, as determined by the UFC. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information regarding the fight’s conclusion.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact volume. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway opinions. A significant shift in public perception, driven by social media or prominent influencers, could also lead to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements.