TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Gerald Meerschaert" if Gerald Meerschaert is officially declared the winner of the fight against Julius Walker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Julius Walker" if Julius Walker is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Gerald Meerschaert" if Gerald Meerschaert is officially declared the winner of the fight against Julius Walker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Julius Walker" if Julius Walker is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities from Polymarket differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can be more responsive to shifts in public opinion and specialized knowledge about the fighters involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the share price will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the Meerschaert vs. Walker fight.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Meerschaert vs. Walker fight as declared by the UFC. This includes determining the winner of the fight, or if the fight concludes before a winner is determined, whether it goes the distance. The final result will be sourced from official UFC records and widely available fight results reporting.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight concludes. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also impact the price of shares on Polymarket. Furthermore, any analysis from MMA experts predicting a specific outcome, or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances, could lead to significant movements in this market.