TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Erin Blanchfield" if Erin Blanchfield is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jasmine Jasudavicius at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Jasmine Jasudavicius" if Jasmine Jasudavicius is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Erin Blanchfield" if Erin Blanchfield is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jasmine Jasudavicius at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Jasmine Jasudavicius" if Jasmine Jasudavicius is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information, such as injury reports or changes in fighter strategy, compared to sportsbook odds, which may be slower to update. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the fight’s potential results. This allows for a fluid reflection of evolving perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC following the completion of the Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius fight. The fighter declared the winner by the official judges’ decision or by technical knockout/submission will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes will be resolved using widely accepted sources of fight results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or alterations to their fight strategies could cause shifts in the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, as well as analysis from MMA experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter’s chances of winning has the potential to move the market.