TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jasmine Jasudavicius or Erin Blanchfield will win their professional MMA fight scheduled for October 17, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Jasmine Jasudavicius a 99.0% probability of winning, while Erin Blanchfield is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official outcome of the fight as determined by the fight’s governing body, per the resolution source. Keep an eye on the fight itself on October 17, 2026, as the result of that bout will directly determine the market’s resolution.
If Erin Blanchfield wins the Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine Jasudavicius wins the Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as traders can react instantly to developments. Comparing the two can offer a broader view of expectations for the Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius fight.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular fighter, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market is for Jasmine Jasudavicius to win, though the chance percentage is not currently available. Traders are actively setting the odds based on their own analysis and information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the UFC fight, determining which fighter is declared the winner. The platform will verify the result against established fight records and reporting from reputable sports news sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either Erin Blanchfield or Jasmine Jasudavicius would likely cause a shift in the odds. Updates on their training camps, weight cuts, or changes in their coaching staff could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any analysis from MMA experts or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances could drive trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to the fight card itself, such as a change in venue or co-main event, could also have an effect.