TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:02h:17m
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This event group concerns a UFC Bantamweight fight between Davey Grant and Elijah Smith. Markets cover the winner of the fight, method of victory (KO/TKO, Submission, Decision), round-based outcomes, and whether the fight goes the distance.
This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to sophisticated modeling, prediction markets can become highly accurate as the event approaches and more information becomes available, sometimes even exceeding sportsbook accuracy.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith fight, as declared by the UFC. This includes determining the winner, and whether the fight concluded before a specific round, as defined by the market’s available outcomes. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, based on widely accepted sources.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected betting line movements from major sportsbooks might also influence traders. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight statistics released leading up to the event could all contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either fighter’s chances of winning will likely move this market.