TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card)
limitless
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith?

Total volume:
$973
Volume 24h:
$495
4%
Liquidity:
$15,232
105%
Open interest:
$927N/A

Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:02h:17m

UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card)

27%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith

Trade
27%
4%
Yes 28¢No 75¢
3¢
$9,399
$973
104%
43,677%
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
limitless

UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card)

N/A
N/A
8.2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 19h 17m
Active
predict

Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith

N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 21h 17m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26.5%
Yes 28¢No 75¢
Avg: 6.7¢Max: 9¢
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

51%
Yes 94¢No 93¢
87¢
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Grant to win by KO/TKO?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Smith to win by KO/TKO?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

67%
Yes 93¢No 59¢
52¢
$395
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

67%
Yes 93¢No 59¢
52¢
$338
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

52%
Yes 53¢No 50¢
3¢
$4,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Grant in Round 1

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Grant in Round 2

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Grant in Round 3

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Smith in Round 1

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Smith in Round 2

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Smith in Round 3

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 2h 17m
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group concerns a UFC Bantamweight fight between Davey Grant and Elijah Smith. Markets cover the winner of the fight, method of victory (KO/TKO, Submission, Decision), round-based outcomes, and whether the fight goes the distance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria based on the official UFC result, with a consistent postponement deadline and 50-50 resolution trigger.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information (e.g., UFC.com fight results)

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary resolution criterion is the official result declared by the UFC.
  • A '50-50' resolution occurs if the fight ends in a draw (including technical draw), is ruled a No Contest, is canceled, or is postponed beyond November 21, 2026.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Doctor Stoppage: A doctor stoppage counts as a TKO/KO for resolution purposes.
  • Corner Stoppage: A corner stoppage counts as a TKO/KO for resolution purposes.
  • Fight Ends Exactly at Threshold: For Over/Under round markets, if the fight ends *exactly* at the round threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for Over 0.5 Rounds), the market resolves to '50-50'.
Timing: Resolution will occur once the official result of the fight is published by the UFC, and no later than November 21, 2026, if the fight is postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith fight. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $973, with $495 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates a moderate level of interest in predicting the fight’s result. The dashboard provides a consensus view, combining data from both venues to offer a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the outcome will land. It’s a dynamic representation of predictions as new information and sentiment emerge.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to sophisticated modeling, prediction markets can become highly accurate as the event approaches and more information becomes available, sometimes even exceeding sportsbook accuracy.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith fight, as declared by the UFC. This includes determining the winner, and whether the fight concluded before a specific round, as defined by the market’s available outcomes. The process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, based on widely accepted sources.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected betting line movements from major sportsbooks might also influence traders. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight statistics released leading up to the event could all contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either fighter’s chances of winning will likely move this market.