TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
polymarket

What is the result of Zhelezniakova vs Pereira?

Volume:
$126,084

Pereira to win by KO/TKO?

 - Polymarket

Pereira to win by KO/TKO? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 6:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pereira to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pereira in Round 1

100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhelezniakova in Round 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pereira in Round 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhelezniakova to win by KO/TKO?

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhelezniakova in Round 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zhelezniakova in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pereira in Round 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Description

This market will resolve to "Daria Zhelezniakova" if Daria Zhelezniakova is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alice Pereira at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Alice Pereira" if Alice Pereira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Daria Zhelezniakova" if Daria Zhelezniakova is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alice Pereira at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Alice Pereira" if Alice Pereira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds, as it's directly influenced by real-time trading activity.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that responds to new information and shifts in sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zhelezniakova vs. Pereira fight, specifically whether the fight goes over or under 2.5 rounds as determined by the official fight record. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome, with payouts determined by the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, as the fight draws closer, any analysis from MMA experts or shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks could influence how traders position themselves in this market.