TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the fight, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as information and sentiment evolve. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception of the fight.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall fight. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall fight as declared by the UFC. The fighter declared the winner by the official judges’ decision or by knockout/submission will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential challenges or disputes will be evaluated based on the official UFC ruling. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy.
Several signals could influence this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Dakota Hope or Francis Marshall would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Updates on their training camps, weight cuts, or pre-fight press conferences could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, changes in public perception, fueled by expert analysis or social media discussions, can drive trading activity. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price adjustments in this market.