TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional mixed martial arts (MMA) fight between two competitors scheduled for October 17, 2026. It reflects bets on which fighter will win the match, with specific conditions for resolving outcomes like ties, postponements, or cancellations.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow professional MMA fight scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Anheliger wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Koslow wins, his market resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50 each. If the fight is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the fight is cancelled or does not begin within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. These markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), and any references to the UFC are purely descriptive.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces. However, sportsbook odds reflect the views of professional oddsmakers and may react quickly to breaking news, while this market relies on the aggregated wisdom of individual participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable predictions result in financial gain.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant governing body for UFC fights. The market will determine which fighter won the bout, or if the fight ends in a draw. It's important to note that the official result, as reported by trusted sources, is the sole determinant for settlement, and the platform will verify this information before finalizing the market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends or analysis from MMA experts could also drive price movements. Furthermore, updates on fighter weight classes or any controversies surrounding the fight’s logistics could all contribute to fluctuations in the market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest available information.