TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
- Limitless
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) - Limitless
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 11, 2026
Closed: Oct 11, 12:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there’s always a bid and ask price available, allowing traders to enter and exit positions easily. This dynamic pricing creates a real-time assessment of the fight's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Allen vs. Duncan fight as declared by the UFC. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision by the judges, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause shifts in the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, as well as analysis from MMA experts, could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in sportsbooks or significant volume spikes on Limitless itself are further signals to watch. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each fighter’s chances of winning could move this market.