TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
polymarket

What is the result of Allen vs Duncan?

Volume:
$653,758

Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

 - Polymarket

Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:48 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$629,851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Allen in Round 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Duncan to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Allen to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Duncan in Round 1

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Allen in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Duncan in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Allen in Round 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Allen in Round 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 4?

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 5?

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Allen in Round 1

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Duncan in Round 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Allen vs. Duncan fight tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes, along with historical data to understand how sentiment has shifted over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $627,881, and the total volume traded on this market is $653,722. This allows you to assess market activity and potential trends before making a prediction.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Allen vs. Duncan fight as determined by the UFC. Specifically, the market will settle based on whether the fight goes over or under 3.5 rounds, as officially recorded by the UFC's official results. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Polymarket following the event's completion.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either Brendan Allen or Christian Leroy Duncan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in fighter weight, training updates, or even public statements from the fighters themselves could also shift sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks, or analysis from MMA experts predicting a change in strategy, could also impact trading activity on Polymarket and move the odds.