TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
limitless
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando?

Total volume:
$3,503
Volume 24h:
$2,340
104%
Liquidity:
$14,192
22%
Open interest:
$3,495N/A

Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:05h:22m

UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

27%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando

Trade
27%
1%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$9,278
$3,503
201%
157,519%
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
limitless

UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 22h 22m
Active
predict

Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 22m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
Avg: 5.3¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
51%
Yes 96¢No 94¢
90¢
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Elekana to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fernando to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
68%
Yes 95¢No 59¢
54¢
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
62%
Yes 64¢No 41¢
5¢
$4,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
49%
Yes 92¢No 95¢
87¢
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Elekana in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Elekana in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Elekana in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fernando in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fernando in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Fernando in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 5h 22m
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers various markets related to the UFC fight between Billy Elekana and Lucas Fernando. Markets include predicting the winner, method of victory (KO, TKO, submission, decision), round-based outcomes, and whether the fight will go the distance. All markets rely on official UFC information for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize identical resolution criteria and sources, ensuring consistent outcomes across markets.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC (UFC.com or official fight results)

Core resolution logic:

  • The primary market resolves to the fighter officially declared the winner by the UFC.
  • Draws (including technical draws) resolve to a 50-50 split.
  • No Contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond November 21, 2026, resolve to a 50-50 split.
  • Round-based markets resolve based on the specific round in which the fight ends, considering stoppages between rounds.
  • Method of victory markets resolve based on the official method of victory declared by the UFC.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Fight Ends Exactly at Round Threshold: For Over/Under round markets, if the fight ends *exactly* at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for Over 1.5 Rounds), the market resolves to 50-50.
  • Doctor/Corner Stoppage Between Rounds: A stoppage between rounds (doctor or corner) counts as ending in the round that just completed. For example, a stoppage between Round 1 and Round 2 resolves as ending in Round 1.
Timing: Resolution will occur once the official result of the fight is publicly available from the UFC, no later than November 21, 2026, or upon official cancellation/postponement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Billy Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Billy Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Billy Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Elekana vs. Fernando fight. Currently, the aggregated volume across these platforms is $3,503, indicating significant interest in predicting the result of this light heavyweight main card bout. The dashboard provides a consensus view of predictions, combining data from both venues to offer a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the fight is headed. This allows for a broader understanding of expectations than looking at either Polymarket or Limitless in isolation.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. This market's current implied probabilities may differ from those found at conventional betting venues, and can be a useful data point for informed decision-making. The volume of $3,503 suggests active trading and potentially refined predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elekana vs. Fernando fight as declared by the UFC. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner, or if the fight ends in a draw or no contest. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, which will be used to settle this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift predictions. Unexpected betting line movements at traditional sportsbooks might also influence traders on Polymarket and Limitless. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight statistics released in the days leading up to the event could all contribute to price fluctuations. A significant shift in public sentiment, reflected in social media or online forums, could also move this market.