TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market will resolve to "Andre Fili" if Andre Fili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kai Kamaka III at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Kai Kamaka III" if Kai Kamaka III is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Andre Fili" if Andre Fili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kai Kamaka III at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Kai Kamaka III" if Kai Kamaka III is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the implied probability. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that continuously adjusts to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC following the completion of the Fili vs. Kamaka III fight. The fighter declared the winner by the official judges’ decision or by technical knockout/submission will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential challenges or disputes will be resolved based on the official UFC ruling.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the fight takes place. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting action from sharp money could also cause the odds to move. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the fight are likely to impact the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.